Irvin’s five-inning profile features a higher ERA, but prior quality starts against Atlanta give Washington a glimmer of upside in a rain-affected tilt. The model’s 45% win projection hinges on early runs and efficient innings.

Irvin draws the Nationals into a Friday start against the Cubs, carrying an 8-20 record and 5.42 ERA as Washington attempts to stay in the mix in a crowded division.

Irvin starts for Washington in a key spot, needing length and quality against a Rays lineup capable of exploiting mistakes. A strong effort could stabilize WAS’s rotation down the stretch and influence fantasy streaming decisions.

Irvin’s 8-8 record is tempered by a 5.30 ERA and 1.40 WHIP; road numbers show more HR/9 and a tendency to yield against Nationals opponents, making him the focal point of a favorable Suarez matchup and NL East betting angles.

Irvin carries a high ERA and hard-hit indicators in a tough matchup versus Philadelphia, especially with a weak Nationals bullpen behind him. His command and contact metrics suggest the Phillies have a path to multiple runs, elevating the risk for Nationals’ side in DFS and bets.